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Polygon (MATIC) Price Prediction 2025-2030: Why next year could be THE year for MATIC

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Polygon (MATIC) Price Prediction 2025-2030: Why next year could be THE year for MATIC

Disclaimer: The datasets shared in the following article have been compiled from a set of online resources and do not reflect AMBCrypto’s own research on the subject

Since its launch in 2019, Polygon’s MATIC has seen significant price appreciation and volatility. In the early days of MATIC, its price was relatively stable and showed steady, gradual growth. However, in the past year or so, the price of MATIC has seen some significant fluctuations. This month alone, the altcoin has gone down by more than 7% on the charts. 

Polygon is a popular layer 2 scaling solution for Ethereum. It is designed to enable faster and cheaper transactions on the Ethereum blockchain by utilizing a system of sidechains and validators to offload some of the transaction processing.


Read Price Prediction for MATIC for 2023-24


In late 2020, MATIC’s price experienced a significant bull run, reaching an all-time high of over $2 in December of that year. This was driven in part by the overall bull market in the cryptocurrency space, as well as strong demand for MATIC as a utility token. 

Since then, the price of MATIC has come down somewhat, but it has remained relatively stable and continues to be a popular investment asset. In the past year, MATIC has performed well compared to some other cryptocurrencies, with its price remaining relatively steady even during market downturns.

A new report published by Blockchain analytics firm Messari shows that the third quarter of 2022 saw a 180% increase in the number of active addresses Q0Q, with total transactions for the quarter coming in at 2 billion. 

Additionally, Polygon’s partnership with Warren Buffet-backed Nubank, which was announced last week, is being seen as a positive development for the network.

Popular TV Network SHOWTIME recently announced a collaboration with Polygon and Spotify. 

In other news, Polygon informed users that Ethereum’s Merge had dramatically reduced its carbon dioxide emissions.

Polygon Network reached a new milestone on 15 November after the number of unique addresses reached 191.2 million. Data from polygonscan shows that the daily transactions on the Polygon chain took a significant hit following the news of FTX’s bankruptcy. As of 15 November, the total transactions stood at 3.26 million.

Polygon announced a partnership with Nike earlier this week. This joint venture will see the sportswear apparel brand bild it’s web3 experiences exclusively on Polygon.

MATIC’s YTD chart may suggest a buy signal, given that the crypto is currently well above $1, compared to $2.58 towards the beginning of the year. While this may look like a ripe opportunity to beef up MATIC holdings at a discounted price, it is important to look at other factors while making an investment decision.

Numbers from the trading volume, however, are quite worrisome. Ethereum’s most popular layer 2 scaling solution has lost more than 62% of its daily trading volume over the last seven days. $361 million worth of MATIC was traded over the past 24 hours, compared to $525 million two weeks ago.

One possible reason for the sharp decline in the daily volume of MATIC is the Ethereum Merge that took place on 15 September. The crypto has taken a hit following the Merge event, with both market cap and daily volume on a downtrend. 

Polygon recently published an analytical insight into its bridge flow between January and August 2022.  A closer look at the numbers revealed that in these 8 months, more than $11 billion entered the Polygon ecosystem from multiple chains. Ethereum and Fantom Opera contributed the most with an inflow of $8.2 billion and $1.06 billion, respectively, which also puts it at the top in terms of net volume.

As far as bridges are concerned, Ethereum’s PoS bridge and Plasma bridge accounted for a net volume of $1 billion and $250 million within this time period. Meanwhile, Ethereum’s PoS and Fantom Opera’s Multichain bridge accounted for a combined outflow volume of more than $7.2 billion. Considering all 43 bridge chain pairs, the average volume comes out to be $48 million.

At press time, MATIC was trading at $0.7560.

Source: MATIC/USD, TradingView

In February 2021, Matic rebranded to Polygon in a bid to provide a scalable version of Ethereum’s infrastructure and introduce overlay rollups to combine another layer 2 platforms for instant transactions, among other things. Polygon retained the name of its native token MATIC. The token proceeded to gain by over 200% over the next 30 days. Polygon runs on the proof-of-stake consensus protocol and can be described as an Ethereum layer 2 scaling solution with the best of both worlds.

In 2021, MATIC’s price went soaring thanks to the increasing popularity of Ethereum and surging activity in NFTs and play-to-earn games like Axie Infinity. MATIC began the year at a humble $0.018 and a market cap of $81 million. By the end of the year, MATIC’s market cap hit a whopping $20 billion, with the altcoin touching its all-time high of $2.92 on 27 December.

On 12 May 2021, Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin donated crypto worth $1 billion to the India Covid-19 relief fund set up by Nailwal. This seemingly unrelated event caused MATIC to surge by 145% within the next 48 hours. By 18 May, the token had gone from $1.01 all the way up to $2.45, gaining 240%.

In May 2021, Polygon was in the news after it received backing from billionaire investor Mark Cuban, who revealed plans to integrate his NFT platform Lazy.com with Polygon. Following his investment in Polygon, Cuban claimed that the Polygon Network was “destroying everybody else” at the Defi Summit Virtual Conference in June 2021.

Since the beginning of 2022, Polygon has secured various partnerships, most notably with Adobe’s Behance, Draftkings, and billionaire hedge fund manager Alan Howard for the development of Web3 projects. Polygon boasts partnerships across various industries. Instagram and Polygon have collaborated on NFTs too.

Stripe has launched global crypto pay-outs with Polygon. Fashion brands like Adidas Originals and Prada have launched NFT collections on polygon

Based on gathered adoption metrics, Alchemy has described Polygon to be the best-positioned protocol to drive the booming Web3 ecosystem. Data from Alchemy also showed that at press time, Polygon hosted more than 19,000 decentralized applications (dApps) on its network.

On 27 May 2022, Tether (USDT), the largest stablecoin by market capitalization, announced that it was launching on the Polygon Network. MATIC rose by more than 10% following news of the launch.

Citigroup released a report in April 2022, one in which it described Polygon as the AWS of Web3. The report went on to claim that the Metaverse economy is estimated to be worth a whopping $13 trillion by 2030, with most of it being developed on the Polygon Network. Citigroup also believes that Polygon will see widespread adoption thanks to its low transaction fees and developer-friendly ecosystem.

The Terra network’s collapse in May 2022 triggered an exodus of developers and projects. Polygon soon announced a multi-million dollar, Terra Developers Fund, in a bid to help the migration of anyone looking to switch networks. On 8 July, Polygon Studios CEO Ryan Wyatt tweeted that over 48 Terra projects had migrated to Polygon.

Crypto exchange Coinbase published a report on 8 August 2022 that claimed that the future of Layer 2 scaling solutions could very well be a zero-sum game, hinting that layer 2 solutions like Polygon could overtake Ethereum in terms of economic activity.

On 8 August 2022, blockchain security form PeckShield reported a rug pull by the Polygon-based play-to-earn game Dragoma, following a sharp decline in the value of its native token DMA. The same has been corroborated by data from Polygonscan which shows a clear surge in token transfers and transfer amount on the day of the alleged rug pull which led to a loss of over $1 million.

In the week following Polygon’s announcement of the Gnosis bridge, MATIC surged more than 18% breaking the crucial resistance at $1 for a brief period. This feature paves the way for Web3 teams like DeFi protocols and DAOs to transfer assets between Ethereum and Polygon, for considerably fewer gas fees without compromising on security.

Numbers from the 32nd edition of PolygonInsights, a weekly report published by Polygon outlining key network metrics, indicated that in spite of dropping down from the $1 mark that MATIC had reclaimed barely a week before, not all was lost. Weekly NFT volume stood at $902 million, a whopping 800% increase from the previous week. Meanwhile, active wallets grew by 75% to 280,000.

In an industry that is often bashed for being energy intensive and harmful to the environment, Polygon has distinguished itself by achieving network carbon neutrality after offloading $400,000 in carbon credits. This nullified the carbon debt accrued by the network. As per the ‘Green Manifesto’ published by Polygon, they now plan to achieve the status of being carbon-negative by the end of 2022. In fact, they have pledged $20 million towards that milestone.

Cercle X, the world’s first decentralized application for waste management solutions, announced on 15 August that it had integrated with Polygon to leverage Web3 to digitize the garbage disposal process by developing a waste management dashboard.

Whale Movement

Source: Santiment

Data from blockchain analytics firm Santiment showed that following the market-wide sell-off triggered by the collapse of Terra, almost 30% of the supply held by top exchange addresses (whales) was taken off of exchanges, the same is corroborated by the visible spike in supply held by non-exchange addresses which indicate that supply held by non-exchange addresses soared all the way to 806 million MATIC. 

However, come mid-June, this transfer was reversed, with investors rushing their MATIC holdings into exchanges and non-exchange holdings dropping by 240 million MATIC.

It would be safe to assume that these holdings came from non-exchange addresses as a sharp decline in supply held by them is visible. For over a month the holdings were rather dormant in their respective places, but by the end of July, supply held by top exchange addresses was slashed again, this time by 120 million MATIC. At the same time, non-exchange addresses held a whopping 6.6 billion MATIC. 

Latest Stats

On August 30, Polygon released the 34th edition of PolygonInsights, a weekly analytics report where key metrics about the network, dApps and NFTs are published.

With 817,000 weekly active users, the network registered a 14% growth, compared to the 805,000 active users in the previous week. While daily transactions fell by 3%, the overall transactions were 12% cheaper than the week before. The average daily revenue came out to be $45,100.

Numbers in the NFT department were a lot more optimistic. The weekly NFT grew by a whopping 400%, reaching $656 million. The number of new NFT wallets surged by almost 60% with 60,000 new users registering with the network. Mint events and total NFT transactions were the two areas that didn’t see growth, with both numbers declining by 12% and 9% respectively.

dApp stats revealed that Arc8 and SushiSwap were the top two movers in the top 25 protocols. Arc8 registered more than 30,000 new users, a 51% increase from the previous week. SushiSwap on the other hand registered 8200 new users, reflecting a massive 88% increase over the previous week.

Polygon Tokenomics

Polygon has a maximum total supply of 10 billion tokens, out of which 8 billion are currently in circulation. The remaining 2 billion tokens will be unlocked periodically over the next four years and will primarily be disbursed through staking rewards. The initial exchange offering was held on Binance through the Binance Launch Pad to facilitate the sale of 19% of the tokens.

Source: Polygon Forum

Following is the breakdown of the current supply –

  • Polygon Team – 1.6 billion
  • Polygon Foundation – 2.19 billion
  • Binance Launchpad – 1.9 billion
  • Advisors – 400 million   
  • Private sale – 380 million
  • Ecosystem – 2.33 billion
  • Staking Rewards – 1.2 billion

Understandably, there are many who are very bullish on MATIC’s future. Some YouTubers, for instance, believe MATIC will soon be worth $10 on the charts. In fact, he claimed that a “glorious” double-digit valuation for the token is inevitable. 

We’ve seen Polygon really picking up in the number of NFTs sold. We can see from July, when we had 50,000 Polygon-based NFTs sold, to now where we have… 1.99 million NFTs sold in the month of December on Polygon on OpenSea. That’s absolutely massive, massive growth for the Polygon ecosystem.”

MATIC Price Prediction 2025

After analyzing the altcoin’s price action, crypto-experts at Changelly concluded that MATIC should be worth at least $3.39 in 2025. They forecasted a maximum price of $3.97 for that year.

According to Telegaon, MATIC should be worth at least $6.93 by 2025, with an average price of $7.18. The maximum price projected by the platform is $9.36.

MATIC Price Prediction for 2030

Changelly’s crypto-experts believe that by the year 2030, MATIC will be trading between $22.74 and $27.07, with an average price of $23.36.

Here, it’s worth pointing out that 2030 is still a long way away. 8 years down the line, the crypto market could be affected by a host of different events and updates, each of which is difficult to ascertain. Ergo, it’s best that predictions like these are taken with a pinch of salt.

On the bright side, however, MATIC’s technicals flashed a BUY signal at the time of writing. It is no wonder then that most are optimistic about the fortunes of the altcoin.

Conclusion

MATIC’s recovery since the market-wide sell-off in May has been impressive, but it is possible that the trend reverses if investors choose to book their profits. Especially given that a lot of them have seen their holdings diminish due to the ongoing crypto-winter and the prospect of leaving in the green will be tempting.

Speaking at the Korea Blockchain Week 2022, co-founder Sandeep Nailwal suggested that bearish conditions such as the ongoing crypto winter provide a ‘noise-free’ environment suitable for talent acquisition and marketing. This could mean that Polygon comes out ahead once the trend reverses and the bulls are back in charge of the market

Crypto experts seem to be divided over the aftermath of the much-anticipated Ethereum merge which is scheduled for next month. Some believe that when ETH 2.0 arrives, it may make scaling solutions redundant – or at least less important. 

The other side of experts has argued that the merge will make Ethereum more eco-friendly by reducing energy consumption, and by extension will benefit layer 2 scaling solutions like Polygon by increasing its appeal to investors as environment-friendly crypto. In addition to this, MATIC would also be poised for a surge in value since Ethereum’s merge will have no effect on its controversially high gas fees, effectively advertising Polygon’s use case. 

In a blog post on 23 August, The Polygon team addressed the community’s concerns regarding the merge and its impact on the network.

The team assured users that the merge is good news and nothing to worry about. The team went on to explain that while the merge will reduce Ethereum’s energy consumption significantly, it will not have any effect on the gas fees or transaction speed, which is a major problem for the network. “the network depends on Polygon and other Layer 2 solutions to solve for this. “ the team added.

The team reiterated that the growth of Ethereum will lead to the growth of Polygon and that the future of both networks is symbiotic.

This statement from the Ethereum Foundation will come as a relief to those worried about the impact of the merge on the polygon network, “The Ethereum ecosystem is firmly aligned that layer 2 scaling is the only way to solve the scalability trilemma while remaining decentralized and secure.”

When ETH 2.0 comes, it may make scaling solutions redundant – or at least less important. The counter to that is Polygon plans to expand to other blockchains and the interoperability capabilities in the future will offset any threat that Ethereum’s Merge presents.

The major factors that will influence MATIC’s price in the coming years are –

  • Successful rollout of zero-knowledge EVMs
  • Expansion to new blockchains
  • Growth in dApps hosted on the network

Predictions are not immune to changing circumstances and will be updated with new developments. Do note, however, that predictions are not a substitute for research and due diligence.

It’s worth pointing out here that as far as social sentiment is concerned, all are on the positive side for Polygon.

Source: CoinDesk

The Fear and Greed Index degraded over the past week. 

Source: Alternative.me


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Data Shows 50% Of Bitcoin Hashrate Controlled By Two Mining Pools

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50% of Bitcoin hashrate Controlled by Two Mining Pools

Bitcoin hashrate is becoming highly centralized, with a few mining pools controlling most of the blockchain mining power. The latest data from Mempool indicates that 50% of the total hashrate is held by Foundry USA and Antpool. 

A Highly Centralized Mining Network

Foundry USA has maintained a hashrate of over 30% of the total Bitcoin network for several weeks. It became the first mining pool of non-Chinese origin to lead the list in November 2021, following the ban on Bitcoin mining in China in the middle of the same year. 

Back then, Foundry USA contributed 17% of the total Bitcoin hashrate. Today, the US-based pool averages 34.1% of the mining power, equivalent to about 104 EH/s, considering that the Bitcoin hashrate is around 300 EH/S. 

Related Reading: First Bitcoin Mining Powered By Nuclear Energy To Open In The U.S. In Q1 This Year 

Antpool comes in second with about 18.0% of the total hashrate equivalent to about 58 EH/s. The Chinese-based pool used to be the largest Bitcoin pool but was affected by the ban on crypto mining which caused several miners in the region to migrate. 

Bitcoin Pool distribution records on Dec. 29, 2022 (3-day stats)/Mempool.com

What Is Behind This Trend?

The graph shows that over 80% of Bitcoin’s mining power is concentrated among just 5 pools. This contrasts with the beginning of 2022, when these five mining pools barely exceeded 60% of the hashrate. 

Some factors could have contributed to this rise. One of which is the location of the servers of the said pools. The closer the servers are to the pools and mining facilities, the lower the information transfer latency. This means that a miner will likely get more shares in the mining process and earn more Bitcoin (BTC) by connecting to a closer server. 

Bitcoin hashrate difficulty
Bitcoin hashrate difficulty for January/CoinWarz.com

Another factor is the financial incentives offered by these major mining pools. Bigger mining pools can consistently distribute profits to their members, who pay a commission for mining with their resources, driving more miners to their ecosystem. This is evident with the high mining difficulty in recent weeks due to the bullish movement of Bitcoin, making it difficult for smaller mining pools to be profitable. 

Related Reading: Why The S&P 500 Could Help Send Bitcoin Soaring Higher

However, Bitcoin’s highly centralized mining system poses significant dangers to the cryptocurrency. The miners could agree to reject transactions that do not meet a specific parameter leading to a 51% attack. 

We’ve seen such attacks occur on other Proof-of-Work blockchains like Ethereum Classic, which could be a problem for Bitcoin. In addition, these pools are recognized companies and could face pressures from regulatory agencies trying to control activities on the Bitcoin network. 

Bitcoin Price

So far, Bitcoin is still maintaining its bullish trend, with the leading cryptocurrency up by 40% since the start of the year. As of the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $23,400, according to data from Tradingview.com. 

Bitcoin Price on January 28| Source: BTCUSDT on Binance, TradingView
Bitcoin Price on January 28| Source: BTCUSDT TradingView

Featured image from Pixabay, charts from Trading View, Coinwarz, and Mempool


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This week in Crypto; Axie, Aptos Record Big Gains as Ethereum Drops

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This week in Crypto; Axie, Aptos Record Big Gains as Ethereum Drops

On Sunday morning, Ethereum, the second largest crypto by market capitalization, was the only top ten coin that saw a drop in value. Other major coins have continued to record gains for the fourth consecutive week.

Meanwhile, the most popular crypto, Bitcoin, has seen 7-day gains of about 3.2%, and as of this writing, it is trading at $23,221, as per CoinGecko. This week, researchers have claimed that the ideal time to take long positions in the crypto market is during the end of the Chinese New Year’s first day.

Data on CoinGecko shows that Ethereum has dropped by 5.3% in the past seven days and is trading at $1,572. On Tuesday, Ethereum developers revealed they had achieved a significant milestone toward the network’s most anticipated update, the Shanghai Upgrade. The upgrade will allow stakers to withdraw their funds.

Aptos Records 7-day Gains of 57%

Aptos is up 57% this week, and at the time of publishing, it is changing hands for $17.10. It is difficult to tell what’s fueling the rally, but a huge portion of the token’s trading volume has been from arbitrage trading on the south Korean-based exchange, UpBit.

Some exchanges in South Korea usually price crypto higher than other global exchanges. Many traders involved in arbitrage trading refer to this discrepancy as Kimchi Premium. It is worth noting that this is how FTX’s ex-CEO Sam Bankman-Fried started his crypto trading journey.

Launched last October, Aptos began trading at $13 before it crashed by 45% following criticism that the developer behind the blockchain did not reveal its tokenomics and failed to fulfill their promise of processing over 100,000 transactions per second. The current price means the investors have recovered their losses.

Axie Infinity is Up 25% This Week

On the other hand, Axie Infinity (AXS) recorded an increase of 25% in the past seven days. On Monday alone, the token gained about 24% following a token unlock that saw about 2.2% of the game’s total supply released to the market. According to CoinGecko, AXS is trading at $11.45 as of this writing.

Other Cryptos That Saw Notable Gains

Other top cryptocurrencies that recorded notable rallies this week include OKB. The token currently trades at $38.23, representing a 14% increase in the past seven days. In addition, Avalanche rose by 17% to change hands for $20.28, while Polygon, the tenth largest crypto by market cap, increased by 8% and is trading at $1.12.


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Bitcoin’s [BTC] price reversal might be on the cards?

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Bitcoin's [BTC] imminent price reversal might be on the cards?

  • BTC’s price has rallied by 40% since 1 January.
  • Investors have recorded significant gains, and now, a price reversal might follow. 

Exchanging hands at the $23,200 price mark at press time, the leading coin Bitcoin [BTC], currently trades at levels last seen in August 2022. On a year-to-date basis, BTC’s price has rallied by 40%, per data from CoinMarketCap.

Sharing a statistically significant positive correlation with several other assets in the market, the growth in BTC’s price has resulted in the growth in the value of several other crypto assets in the last month.

According to data from CoinGecko, global cryptocurrency market capitalization has increased by 21% in the last month.


How much are 1,10,100 BTCs worth today?


Holders are in profit, but for how long?

BTC’s rally to a five-month high in the last month has led many of its holders to log profits on their BTC holdings. An assessment of the cost basis for short-term and long-term holders revealed this.

The cost basis for any BTC holder is the average purchase price of the BTC they possess. This considers any variations in BTC’s price at the time of purchase. This cost basis determines capital gains or losses when the BTC is sold. 

According to Twitter analyst Will Clemente, the cost basis for short-term and long-term BTC holders were $18,900 and $22,300, respectively.

However, since BTC’s price has rallied beyond these points, these cohorts of investors were “no longer underwater,” Clemente said. 

Further, CryptoQuant analyst Phi Deltalytics assessed BTC’s short-term Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR) and found that “sentiment from Bitcoin short-term on-chain participants has reached the greediest level since January 2021.” According to the analyst, the SOPR was positioned well above the bullish threshold of one, indicating an overly stretched market.


Is your portfolio green? Check out the Bitcoin Profit Calculator


Deltalytics noted further that the bullish trend could be short-lived without an increase in stablecoin reserves on spot exchanges. 

Source: CryptoQuant

A look at Crypto Fear & Greed Index confirmed the analyst’s position. At press time, the index showed that greed permeated the cryptocurrency markets.

When the index is in the “greed” range, it means that investors have become increasingly confident and optimistic about the market and may be more willing to take on risk.

This also suggests that prices are becoming overvalued and that a market correction may be imminent.

Source: Alternative.me

An assessment of BTC’s movement on the daily chart confirmed the possibility of a price correction. Since 21 January, the king coin has traded in a tight range.

When BTC’s price oscillates within a tight range, it means that the price is not making significant moves in either direction and is staying within a relatively narrow band. 

An analysis of BTC’s Money Flow Index (MFI) and Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) indicators raised more concerns as these technical indicators have been trending downwards since 21 January. 

The tight range of BTC’s price combined with downtrends in the MFI and CMF suggested a lack of buying momentum and potential for increased selling pressure.

This also showed that the market was likely to break down from the tight range to the downside.

Source: BTC/USDT on TradingView


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