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Crypto Research

Why there is not crypto banking exist

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We have always heard about cryptocurrencies, crypto exchange, banking, and trading platforms, but we do not really grasp the idea of crypto banking. Crypto banking is a contradicted idea. If crypto is to replace banks and give users full control of digital money, why do you put your crypto into the bank? The new research paper argued that there are risks for banks to adopt crypto, but they did it anyway.

Banks want crypto

Cryptocurrency has a rough road at the beginning and continues to experience a bumpy road ahead. The institutional investors were watching its performance. In early 2017, institutional investors had opportunities to adopt crypto, but they found out the return of the investments was less than traditional financial assets. Regulations were not a concern for some individual institutional owners, but banks were conservative at the time. As a result, some investors adopted it in early 2018 than banks did. Then suddenly, the crypto market took off in 2020, leaving many banks to regret their decision in 2017. Many banks set up their digital investment group to rush into the market and increase prices. Of course, many of their investment positions are instead of shadow positions. It is unclear how much they have been invested in and what vehicles they took to invest in cryptos.

Crypto Exchange

Crypto exchange is a bank-like platform for crypto. Banks offered a place to purchase fiat currency. Crypto exchange did the same duty as traditional banks did. Since there was a gap between the crypto and banks, the crypto exchange took responsibility and offered crypto services. The crypto exchange took off after 2020, and they left banks in the dust. Then, crypto winter came in early 2022, and banks again hesitated to enter the crypto and started denouncing crypto usage, particularly in the Defi area. But interestingly, they tried to find ways to get into crypto without being directly exposed to cryptocurrencies—hint: through hedge funds.

How much banks exposure to crypto

We do not know how much banks have been exposed to crypto. We learned that the big Wall Street players were exposed to the services of the digital asset through State Street of their $41.7 trillion assets. Some have been exposed due to Luna’s collapse and 3AC bankruptcy. But again, no specific dollar amount was provided. 

Survivors

Since the crypto winter, institutional investors have been cautious about crypto exposure. However, crypto exchanges are the winner again. They are exposed to crypto and take risks more than banks do. As a result, they likely will weather the uncertainty. Furthermore, there is no need for crypto banking to handle your crypto assets since many such services will not survive long in the crypto environment. 

Crypto is resilience

Despite its fluctuating price and unsecured assets, crypto is resilient to phase out any bad business ideas and bad actors in the economy who wants to or try to dominate the market but who transfers risks to users to believe they are the one who should take responsibility for their carelessness. Unfortunately, those business models will not survive long.

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Crypto Research

Crypto is a good investment or not

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Many people buy crypto to believe it is a great investment. However, it may not be the case.

I asked ChatGPT about the crypto investment and here it is:

Investing in cryptocurrency can be a good opportunity, but it also comes with high risk and volatility. It is important to thoroughly research and understand the cryptocurrency market before investing. Additionally, it is recommended to diversify your investment portfolio and not to invest more than you can afford to lose.

Here are some misconceptions:

First, crypto is not a traditional investment that requires a conventional way to invest. Instead, it is a catch-or-miss investment that you really need to time the market to make profits.

Second, you do not need to hold for too long if you need money quickly. Crypto tends to perform badly long term than average assets did.

Third, high risk only sometimes has high rewards. Many crypto with high risks may not ever provide high returns eventually and many go to zero instead.

Last, do not go FOMO because you are likely to become a bagholder.

There is not missing out and it is too late in the crypto. Rather, you should always keep an eye on the market.

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Crypto Research

Mother of all bubble

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We are heading into a bubble economy and there is one that is about to pop.

ChatGPT suggests that a financial bubble is:

A financial bubble is a situation in which the price of an asset, such as a stock or a commodity, becomes artificially inflated due to excessive speculation and investment. This can lead to a situation where the market becomes overvalued and eventually collapses, resulting in significant losses for investors. Bubbles can occur in a variety of different markets and can be caused by a number of factors, including low interest rates, economic growth, and investor sentiment.

Let’s take Tesla as an example.

Tesla CEO is Elon Musk, who purchased Twitter last year and believed the company can help Tesla to make more profits.

Does it? Or he tried to inflate Tesla instead?

If you go to Twitter, there is less opposition than a supporting voice.

Elon Musk sells Tesla cars and Tesla stocks.

People purchase cars to help pump the stock price and when stock price goes up, people want a new Tesla.

Despite all the bad reviews about the car and its questionable autopilot feature, Tesla cars sold quickly and stock goes up no question.

Is this a Ponzi scheme?

Similarly, cryptocurrency is also highly speculative.

It goes up a time to time, but people buy the narrative without further investigating how useful the crypto really is.

What if people stop buying the crypto, will that still go up?

What if the economy is so bad and the interest rate is high that people have less money to buy more crypto?

We will see how it goes.

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Crypto Research

One more thing NFT can do

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California will have a pilot program to use NFT to record car titles as an innovation of record management. 

ChatGPT stated NFT is:

NFT stands for “non-fungible token.” It is a digital asset that represents ownership of a unique item or piece of content, such as a digital art piece or collectible. NFTs are created and stored on a blockchain, which is a decentralized digital ledger. This allows for the creation and transfer of ownership of digital assets in a secure and verifiable way.

Finally, the government has realized the use of the blockchain, and it will reduce government spending while providing more accurate information to citizens.

I think blockchain has more utilities other than money. Digital money is the first step in testing society’s compatibility, but the blockchain should focus more on providing services rather than investing to people.

That blockchain service can be essential for society later rather than simply going to moon-style investments to create unsustainable pump and dump.

Such government collaboration is the first step to making blockchain a social system.

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